Lecco vs AC Marzotto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
REG
3 - 1
LEC
59%
21%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
LEC
1 - 2
ATL
37%
26%
36%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
COM
1 - 1
LEC
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
LEC
2 - 0
ACP
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1959 |
MES
1 - 1
LEC
47%
26%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
ACM
1 - 1
SSS
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
VER
3 - 0
ACM
71%
18%
12%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
ACM
0 - 1
VIG
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
REG
0 - 0
ACM
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1959 |
COM
4 - 0
ACM
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |