Lecco vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
22.7%
34.9%
Draw
0-0
19.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
0
34.9%
30.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1973 |
LEC
0 - 1
ASC
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
TAR
1 - 0
LEC
56%
28%
16%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
LEC
1 - 1
BRE
41%
33%
26%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
BAR
0 - 0
LEC
68%
22%
10%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
LEC
0 - 0
ARZ
40%
32%
28%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1973 |
CES
1 - 0
BAR
59%
26%
15%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
ASC
1 - 0
CES
55%
26%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
CES
2 - 0
ARZ
63%
24%
13%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
GEN
2 - 1
CES
52%
29%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
CES
1 - 1
BRE
64%
24%
12%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |