Desenzano Calvina vs Castellanzese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
28.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 1
DES
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
DES
4 - 2
USP
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 2
DES
23%
22%
55%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
DES
1 - 0
ADR
58%
21%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SON
1 - 2
DES
37%
23%
41%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Castellanzese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
CAS
42%
22%
36%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
OLG
1 - 2
CAS
22%
23%
55%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
VCB
4 - 1
CAS
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
SON
57%
19%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 2
CAS
31%
22%
48%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |