Desenzano Calvina vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
DES
0 - 1
CRE
48%
23%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 2
DES
50%
22%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 2
DES
24%
22%
54%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
DES
0 - 1
CAS
50%
22%
29%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 1
DES
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
ARC
1 - 1
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
ADR
2 - 0
CAR
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
CAL
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAR
36%
24%
40%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
LEO
72%
16%
12%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |