Desenzano Calvina vs Franciacorta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
39.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 2
DES
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
DES
2 - 3
NIB
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 2
DES
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
VIL
4 - 0
DES
30%
23%
47%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
DES
1 - 2
CAL
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ADR
1 - 3
USP
56%
21%
22%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
SER
4 - 4
ADR
53%
25%
23%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ADR
2 - 1
VIL
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 3
ADR
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
TRI
1 - 1
ADR
34%
23%
43%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |