Calavera Sub 19 B vs San Fernando CD U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
20.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+96%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
10º
3º
48
4º
15º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calavera Sub 19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SEV
1 - 0
CAL
64%
18%
17%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CAL
3 - 3
CDC
78%
13%
9%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
COR
1 - 3
CAL
44%
22%
34%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 3
LSB
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
COR
1 - 1
CAL
46%
22%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
San Fernando CD U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FER
0 - 0
ALG
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ATS
1 - 4
FER
20%
21%
59%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
FER
2 - 5
REA
28%
22%
50%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SRL
2 - 6
FER
41%
22%
37%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
FER
1 - 1
SRB
62%
19%
19%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |