Calasancio vs Villegas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
50.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+111%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BAÑ
0 - 1
CAL
27%
24%
49%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CAL
4 - 1
CDS
70%
18%
13%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CFC
2 - 2
CAL
20%
23%
57%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 3
CAL
21%
22%
57%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 4
MAR
29%
24%
47%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 0
NAX
72%
16%
12%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ILO
3 - 2
VIL
7%
13%
79%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
RAC
93%
5%
2%
|
18 | 6 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
AUT
3 - 1
VIL
37%
24%
39%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
CDB
53%
20%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |