Calasancio vs Villegas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+134%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ALB
2 - 0
CAL
63%
21%
16%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
RIV
0 - 0
CAL
71%
18%
11%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
PRA
1 - 1
CAL
36%
27%
37%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 0
ARN
18%
25%
57%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CIU
2 - 0
CAL
62%
21%
17%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
RIV
28%
24%
48%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
CDF
1 - 0
VIL
50%
22%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 1
PRA
67%
18%
15%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ARN
1 - 0
VIL
65%
21%
15%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
CIU
50%
23%
27%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |