Calasancio vs CD Varea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
77.9%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.5%
0-4
7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+140%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAL
51%
25%
25%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 2
CDF
45%
26%
30%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CAL
4 - 1
SMC
39%
25%
36%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
AGO
3 - 0
CAL
67%
21%
12%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 2
ALF
11%
20%
69%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
SOM
3 - 0
VAR
40%
25%
36%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 1
CLH
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
TED
0 - 3
VAR
13%
18%
70%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
VAR
5 - 3
CDT
44%
24%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
CDT
3 - 0
VAR
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |