Calasancio vs CD Alfaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.8%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
79.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
16.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.3%
0-3
12.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
17%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+174%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
HAR
5 - 0
CAL
93%
6%
1%
|
9 | 41 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 4
ANG
5%
13%
82%
|
10 | 35 | 25 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ARN
0 - 1
CAL
72%
19%
9%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CAL
3 - 1
CDF
16%
21%
63%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 2
VIL
22%
24%
53%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ALF
5 - 0
VIL
84%
12%
4%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 0
ALF
74%
15%
11%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ALF
0 - 2
AGO
82%
13%
5%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VIA
2 - 1
ALF
8%
16%
76%
|
29 | 10 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ALF
3 - 0
RIV
84%
12%
5%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | -1 |