Calamonte vs UC La Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
PUE
0 - 0
CAL
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAL
5 - 0
COR
34%
24%
42%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ARR
0 - 2
CAL
76%
16%
8%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SAM
3 - 1
CAL
22%
22%
55%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 3
SNV
83%
12%
5%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
UC La Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
AZU
4 - 1
UCL
79%
14%
8%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
UCL
0 - 6
CDB
12%
19%
68%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
UCL
2 - 0
CAM
76%
15%
9%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
UDF
1 - 1
UCL
21%
20%
59%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
USA
0 - 1
UCL
22%
21%
57%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |