Calamonte vs Trujillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
37.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
PLA
2 - 0
CAL
36%
26%
38%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 1
EMD
54%
23%
23%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
JER
1 - 1
CAL
40%
26%
34%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 0
EXT
60%
22%
18%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 1
ARR
44%
26%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
TRU
0 - 1
MOR
26%
25%
49%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
TRU
0 - 0
PLA
61%
22%
18%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
EMD
0 - 0
TRU
23%
24%
53%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
TRU
1 - 1
JER
58%
22%
20%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ARR
2 - 1
TRU
31%
25%
44%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |