Calamonte vs Santa Amalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
7º
14º
13º
30
5º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
38 | 71 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 71 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 67 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
1º
|
43 | 67 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 66 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 61 |
6º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 49 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 43 |
10º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 41 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 38 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 35 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 29 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 27 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
17º
|
22.5% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 25 |
18º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
73.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
26.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 1
CDB
10%
21%
69%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
MON
1 - 3
CAL
51%
24%
25%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 2
CAL
50%
24%
26%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 1
CDD
23%
23%
54%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
AZU
2 - 0
CAL
67%
19%
14%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Amalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 0
MON
24%
21%
55%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
SAM
66%
20%
15%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
MOR
28%
22%
50%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CDD
2 - 0
SAM
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 2
AZU
20%
21%
59%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |