Calamonte vs Santa Amalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
AZU
0 - 0
CAL
69%
17%
14%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 3
JER
44%
25%
31%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
MOR
2 - 2
CAL
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 2
CAS
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
COR
2 - 0
CAL
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Amalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SAM
3 - 2
EXT
33%
23%
45%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CPC
0 - 0
SAM
77%
16%
7%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 2
DBN
18%
25%
57%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ARR
2 - 0
SAM
31%
24%
45%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 1
PUE
38%
25%
38%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |