Calamonte vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
57.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 3
TRU
37%
25%
38%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
PLA
2 - 0
CAL
36%
26%
38%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 1
EMD
54%
23%
23%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
JER
1 - 1
CAL
40%
26%
34%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 0
EXT
60%
22%
18%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 0
BAD
77%
16%
7%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
TRU
0 - 1
MOR
26%
25%
49%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
MOR
3 - 0
MIA
72%
18%
10%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
PLA
0 - 2
MOR
20%
24%
57%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
EMD
2 - 1
MOR
11%
20%
69%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | -2 |