Calamonte vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
61.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 0
EXT
31%
26%
44%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 2
CHI
69%
19%
12%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
CAL
59%
22%
20%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 2
EMD
50%
24%
27%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
LOB
0 - 0
CAL
18%
22%
61%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
EMD
0 - 1
MOR
16%
22%
62%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 0
PLA
65%
20%
15%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 0
VAL
85%
11%
4%
|
33 | 7 | 26 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 0
COR
48%
25%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 2
MOR
11%
19%
70%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |