Calamonte vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
59.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ARR
1 - 2
CAL
26%
25%
49%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 1
CAS
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
JER
2 - 2
CAL
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CAL
3 - 1
ADL
47%
23%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CDD
2 - 1
CAL
49%
23%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 0
PUE
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
VAL
0 - 0
MOR
12%
20%
68%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 2
EMD
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
MAD
0 - 0
MOR
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 1
COR
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |