Calamonte vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
36%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 3
CAL
21%
22%
58%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 1
COR
26%
24%
50%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 3
PLA
39%
23%
38%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
EXT
1 - 1
CAL
26%
21%
53%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 2
CPC
18%
22%
60%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
MOR
4 - 3
EXT
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CPC
0 - 0
MOR
68%
20%
12%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 1
DBN
45%
26%
29%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ARR
0 - 2
MOR
17%
21%
61%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
MOR
4 - 0
PUE
60%
21%
19%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |