Calamonte vs EMD Aceuchal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
JER
1 - 1
CAL
40%
26%
34%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 0
EXT
60%
22%
18%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 1
ARR
44%
26%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CDD
1 - 1
CAL
44%
23%
33%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
BAD
1 - 1
CAL
25%
24%
51%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
EMD Aceuchal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
EMD
0 - 0
TRU
23%
24%
53%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
EMD
2 - 1
MOR
11%
20%
69%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | +3 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
PLA
2 - 0
EMD
58%
23%
20%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
ARR
2 - 2
EMD
61%
22%
17%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
EMD
1 - 1
JER
21%
25%
54%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +1 |