Calamonte vs Castuera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
JER
2 - 2
CAL
67%
19%
14%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CAL
3 - 1
ADL
47%
23%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CDD
2 - 1
CAL
49%
23%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CAL
3 - 1
VAL
79%
14%
7%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
EXT
2 - 0
CAL
59%
22%
19%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 2
PUE
46%
24%
30%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
VAL
3 - 2
CAS
31%
24%
45%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 1
EMD
39%
24%
37%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MAD
4 - 1
CAS
88%
9%
3%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 1
COR
18%
22%
60%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +1 |