Calamonte vs Amanecer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
VAL
2 - 0
CAL
18%
21%
62%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
AMA
3 - 2
CAL
20%
22%
58%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -3 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
CAL
5 - 0
OLI
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
VAL
2 - 2
CAL
16%
21%
63%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 0
MON
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 1
EXT
53%
21%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
AMA
3 - 2
CAL
20%
22%
58%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
JER
2 - 1
AMA
72%
18%
10%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
AMA
2 - 1
AZU
20%
24%
57%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CDB
2 - 0
AMA
85%
11%
4%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | -1 |