Calamocha vs UD Fraga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
46.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calamocha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 4
CAL
49%
23%
28%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 1
TAM
52%
23%
25%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SJU
3 - 2
CAL
57%
22%
22%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CFA
2 - 1
CAL
35%
24%
42%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CAL
3 - 0
CFV
48%
24%
28%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
UD Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 2
CFA
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CFV
2 - 1
FRA
23%
21%
56%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
FRA
0 - 0
ICF
35%
24%
41%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
FRA
0 - 1
PEN
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
ZAR
1 - 0
FRA
63%
20%
17%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |