La Calamine vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Calamine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
TIE
1 - 1
LAC
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
LAC
1 - 4
PAT
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
LAC
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
LAC
0 - 0
BOC
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
LAL
1 - 0
LAC
64%
21%
16%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 0
CHA
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
GEA
1 - 1
EXC
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 0
CIN
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
GRI
1 - 1
EXC
26%
25%
49%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 2
DEN
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |