Calais vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
72.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
LEN
2 - 0
CAL
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
CAL
5 - 0
FEI
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
AUX
0 - 0
CAL
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
CAL
1 - 1
ASB
34%
28%
37%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
COM
0 - 1
CAL
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2006 |
ASS
1 - 1
TRO
52%
26%
23%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
TRO
2 - 1
SOC
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
TFC
2 - 1
TRO
48%
26%
25%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 1
TRO
47%
27%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
TRO
0 - 0
MET
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |