Calais vs Douai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
SED
1 - 2
CAL
33%
28%
40%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
CAL
3 - 1
MEZ
79%
14%
6%
|
48 | 14 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
LIL
1 - 1
CAL
23%
27%
50%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 1
ROY
64%
22%
14%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
RAC
3 - 2
CAL
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Douai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
DOU
3 - 0
ARR
25%
26%
49%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
DOU
0 - 6
SED
24%
24%
52%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
MEZ
0 - 2
DOU
23%
23%
54%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
DOU
1 - 3
LIL
31%
24%
45%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ROY
2 - 1
DOU
67%
19%
14%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |