Calais vs Mantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
ROY
3 - 2
CAL
42%
28%
31%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 2
LEN
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BOU
1 - 2
CAL
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 1
AAC
38%
28%
34%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +3 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
TRO
0 - 1
CAL
59%
23%
18%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 0
SAN
28%
27%
46%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ESW
3 - 0
MAN
53%
25%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
QUE
2 - 0
MAN
69%
19%
12%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 1
ROY
51%
26%
24%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 1
MAN
39%
27%
34%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |