Calais vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
54.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
LIL
0 - 0
CAL
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
FCM
1 - 1
CAL
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
CAL
2 - 1
LHA
22%
23%
55%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
CAL
3 - 1
SOC
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
BRC
1 - 1
CAL
58%
24%
18%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
LOR
0 - 0
REN
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
AUX
2 - 1
LOR
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
LOR
2 - 0
SED
51%
25%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
ASS
2 - 0
LOR
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
LOR
1 - 3
SOC
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |