Calais vs Gravelines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
AIL
1 - 1
CAL
19%
24%
57%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 0
ARR
46%
26%
28%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 2
IRI
39%
26%
36%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
FEI
1 - 0
CAL
47%
27%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 0
CAL
50%
25%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gravelines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
ARR
2 - 0
GRA
60%
22%
18%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 0
GRA
36%
26%
38%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BOU
0 - 0
GRA
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 3
DIE
21%
24%
54%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -2 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
GRA
2 - 2
AMI
35%
27%
38%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |