Calais vs Avion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 0
AUL
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CAL
4 - 0
AIL
78%
15%
8%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
IRI
4 - 0
CAL
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 1
SED
31%
26%
44%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
AMI
1 - 0
CAL
45%
26%
30%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Avion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ESW
0 - 2
AVI
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
AVI
0 - 1
DIE
45%
25%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
FEI
0 - 1
AVI
45%
26%
30%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
BOU
1 - 4
AVI
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
AVI
4 - 2
AUL
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |