Calais vs Ailly Sur Somme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
7.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
IRI
4 - 0
CAL
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 1
SED
31%
26%
44%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
AMI
1 - 0
CAL
45%
26%
30%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 3
SAN
31%
27%
42%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
AMI
2 - 2
CAL
39%
27%
35%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ailly Sur Somme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
AIL
1 - 2
GRA
20%
24%
56%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ESW
2 - 2
AIL
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
AIL
1 - 4
DIE
18%
22%
60%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |