Los Caimanes vs Alianza Universidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Los Caimanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 0
LOS
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
LOS
2 - 0
SPO
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
LOS
3 - 0
WIL
55%
25%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 0
LOS
30%
27%
42%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
LOS
2 - 2
UNI
55%
25%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
AUN
3 - 0
WIL
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 0
AUN
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
AUN
2 - 0
UNI
54%
24%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
TAR
0 - 0
AUN
28%
27%
45%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
AUN
0 - 2
ALF
55%
24%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |