Cailungo vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CAI
1 - 1
MUR
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
TFI
6 - 3
CAI
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
CAI
0 - 1
TPE
10%
19%
71%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
FIO
2 - 1
CAI
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
CAI
0 - 1
LIB
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
VIR
1 - 2
FOL
12%
23%
65%
|
39 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
VIR
1 - 3
TPE
7%
16%
77%
|
41 | 71 | 30 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
LIB
2 - 3
VIR
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
VIR
3 - 4
MUR
32%
23%
45%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
VIR
0 - 0
FIO
7%
16%
77%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | +1 |