Coppa Titano Last 16
Global 4-0
Cailungo vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
42.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
FIO
2 - 1
CAI
83%
13%
5%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
FAE
1 - 3
CAI
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
VIR
0 - 1
CAI
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CAI
2 - 1
COS
20%
22%
58%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 0
CAI
75%
18%
7%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
JUV
1 - 0
VIR
51%
24%
26%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MUR
4 - 0
VIR
18%
19%
62%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
VIR
0 - 1
CAI
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
VIR
1 - 1
SGI
79%
13%
8%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
VIR
0 - 2
PEN
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |