Cailungo vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
48.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
CAI
0 - 2
LIB
26%
25%
48%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CAI
3 - 1
FAE
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
COS
0 - 2
CAI
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
TFI
2 - 1
CAI
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
CAI
1 - 5
FIO
20%
22%
58%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
VIR
0 - 6
TPE
32%
24%
44%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
DOM
0 - 1
VIR
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
FAE
2 - 3
VIR
27%
24%
50%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 1
MUR
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SGI
0 - 4
VIR
15%
20%
65%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |