Cailungo vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
38.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAI
1 - 5
FOL
22%
26%
53%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 2
CAI
58%
22%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CAI
0 - 5
FIO
18%
20%
62%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
MUR
3 - 5
CAI
60%
21%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CAI
1 - 2
TPE
27%
26%
47%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FAE
2 - 4
VIR
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
COS
1 - 6
VIR
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 1
LIB
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 0
VIR
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
VIR
4 - 0
SGI
65%
19%
16%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |