Cailungo vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
58.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAI
0 - 2
DOM
48%
25%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
FAE
3 - 2
CAI
77%
15%
8%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CAI
0 - 1
MUR
19%
24%
57%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
CAI
1 - 3
COS
23%
24%
54%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CAI
1 - 2
PEN
21%
25%
53%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TFI
2 - 3
VIR
64%
21%
14%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
VIR
2 - 2
PEN
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
VIR
2 - 0
JUV
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
TPE
1 - 1
VIR
59%
22%
20%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FIO
0 - 0
VIR
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |