Cailungo vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
62.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 1
CAI
68%
19%
14%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
CAI
2 - 1
PEN
16%
21%
63%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
TFI
3 - 3
CAI
84%
13%
4%
|
41 | 69 | 28 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
CAI
2 - 2
DOM
23%
25%
51%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
CAI
0 - 4
SGI
62%
22%
17%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
PEN
3 - 5
VIR
52%
23%
25%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
FAE
2 - 4
VIR
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
PEN
5 - 1
VIR
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2010 |
LIB
2 - 2
VIR
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
FIO
0 - 0
VIR
23%
24%
54%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |