Cailungo vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
59.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 0
CAI
74%
17%
10%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CAI
0 - 1
FOL
34%
26%
39%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 0
CAI
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
CAI
0 - 1
VIR
17%
21%
62%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 1
CAI
68%
19%
14%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
VIR
2 - 2
JUV
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
CAI
0 - 1
VIR
17%
21%
62%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
PEN
3 - 5
VIR
52%
23%
25%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
FAE
2 - 4
VIR
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
PEN
5 - 1
VIR
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |