Cailungo vs Tre Penne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
57.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAI
73%
18%
10%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CAI
0 - 2
LIB
32%
27%
41%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CAI
1 - 4
FOL
17%
24%
60%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 0
CAI
57%
25%
18%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
DOM
4 - 1
CAI
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Tre Penne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 1
TPE
32%
25%
43%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
SGI
0 - 4
TPE
16%
20%
64%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
TPE
0 - 2
PEN
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 2
TPE
48%
23%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 1
TPE
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |