Cailungo vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.5%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
77.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
COS
3 - 0
CAI
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
CAI
0 - 2
COS
25%
26%
49%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
CAI
0 - 2
FAE
21%
24%
55%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
CAI
1 - 3
MUR
18%
25%
57%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
MUR
0 - 0
CAI
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
TFI
2 - 3
TPE
41%
25%
35%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
LIB
1 - 3
TFI
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
COS
2 - 1
TFI
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
TFI
3 - 2
FAE
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
TFI
1 - 4
TPE
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |