Cailungo vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
40.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
COS
1 - 0
CAI
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
CAI
1 - 2
FOL
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 0
CAI
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
CAI
3 - 2
FOL
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
JUV
0 - 0
CAI
75%
17%
8%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
SGI
2 - 2
VIR
37%
23%
41%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
SGI
2 - 2
LIB
32%
26%
43%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SGI
2 - 3
FOL
59%
21%
20%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PEN
3 - 3
SGI
68%
18%
14%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
TPE
4 - 1
SGI
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |