Cailungo vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
56.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
9º
14º
15º
25
2º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
CAI
1 - 1
JUV
33%
24%
43%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CAI
0 - 0
DOM
28%
25%
48%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
JUV
2 - 1
CAI
52%
23%
26%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAI
0 - 3
SGI
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
TFI
2 - 2
CAI
82%
13%
5%
|
39 | 67 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 4
TPE
23%
22%
55%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 1
TFI
26%
26%
48%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
COS
1 - 0
PEN
18%
24%
58%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
TPE
0 - 0
PEN
62%
20%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 0
FOL
39%
28%
34%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |