Cailungo vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
43.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
PEN
3 - 1
CAI
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
LIB
3 - 2
CAI
68%
21%
11%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FOL
7 - 0
CAI
80%
14%
5%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CAI
1 - 3
DOM
24%
24%
53%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAI
0 - 4
COS
49%
23%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
PEN
3 - 1
CAI
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 7
TPE
20%
25%
56%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MUR
5 - 1
PEN
46%
24%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
LIB
3 - 1
PEN
61%
24%
15%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
JUV
3 - 0
PEN
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -2 |