Cailungo vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
45.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CAI
3 - 3
COS
22%
25%
53%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FIO
3 - 0
CAI
85%
12%
3%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CAI
0 - 1
VIR
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
MUR
0 - 0
CAI
74%
18%
9%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
CAI
2 - 2
JUV
23%
25%
53%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 5
MUR
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
TPE
4 - 1
PEN
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 1
COS
51%
24%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
DOM
0 - 0
PEN
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 0
TFI
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |