Cailungo vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
63%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
TFI
3 - 3
CAI
84%
13%
4%
|
41 | 69 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
CAI
2 - 2
DOM
23%
25%
51%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
CAI
0 - 4
SGI
62%
22%
17%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
MUR
2 - 1
CAI
81%
14%
5%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 0
CAI
74%
18%
9%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
SGI
0 - 3
PEN
22%
23%
55%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
PEN
5 - 1
VIR
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 0
LIB
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
TPE
0 - 1
PEN
60%
22%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 0
CAI
74%
18%
9%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |