Cailungo vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
37.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
DOM
0 - 3
CAI
67%
20%
14%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
CAI
0 - 1
FOL
14%
24%
62%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
CAI
2 - 1
COS
35%
23%
42%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CAI
2 - 3
LIB
29%
27%
44%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
TPE
3 - 2
CAI
83%
12%
4%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 1
PEN
45%
25%
31%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
TFI
0 - 0
MUR
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
SGI
0 - 1
MUR
28%
22%
50%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
MUR
1 - 1
VIR
58%
21%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
MUR
0 - 0
FOL
22%
25%
53%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +2 |