Cailungo vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
43.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
TFI
2 - 2
CAI
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
LIB
3 - 0
CAI
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CAI
0 - 1
FAE
38%
25%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 3
CAI
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
CAI
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
MUR
2 - 1
VIR
60%
22%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 1
LIB
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
COS
0 - 1
MUR
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
MUR
0 - 1
PEN
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
TFI
2 - 0
MUR
52%
24%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |