Cailungo vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
54.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
CAI
1 - 2
LIB
23%
26%
51%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 3
CAI
68%
21%
11%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CAI
1 - 4
FAE
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
FIO
3 - 1
CAI
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
TFI
0 - 3
CAI
77%
16%
7%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | +2 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
MUR
5 - 3
JUV
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 0
MUR
15%
23%
62%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
MUR
4 - 1
PEN
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 0
MUR
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
TFI
0 - 1
MUR
46%
26%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |