Cailungo vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
47.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
CAI
0 - 2
TFI
27%
23%
50%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
CAI
0 - 0
FOL
22%
24%
54%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
VIR
0 - 0
CAI
72%
18%
11%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CAI
2 - 0
FIO
27%
27%
46%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +3 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CAI
4 - 1
MUR
35%
23%
42%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
LIB
0 - 1
FAE
69%
21%
11%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
LIB
2 - 0
VIR
46%
26%
27%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
FIO
0 - 1
LIB
42%
27%
30%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
LIB
3 - 0
MUR
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
FIO
3 - 1
LIB
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -2 |