Cailungo vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
48.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CAI
3 - 1
FAE
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
COS
0 - 2
CAI
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
TFI
2 - 1
CAI
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
CAI
1 - 5
FIO
20%
22%
58%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
CAI
2 - 1
COS
40%
24%
37%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
LIB
4 - 0
TFI
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
LIB
6 - 0
PEN
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
FIO
0 - 2
LIB
60%
23%
18%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
LIB
3 - 0
COS
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 2
VIR
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -2 |